
Token Revenue are Growing. But That Doesn't Mean We are Not in a Bubble.
TL;DR AI token revenue is growing at historic rates — Cursor hit $2B ARR in 24 months, Anthropic crossed $14B ARR in 14 months. The “Anti-Bubble School” argues this proves the token economy is real and sustainable. But much of this revenue may be driven by a temporary exploration phase — companies overspending to “not miss the AI revolution” without validated ROI for projects. This pattern still resembles the dark fiber phenomenon. In the late 1990s, we built vast broadband infrastructure before anyone had Netflix or YouTube. The technology was right. The timeline was wrong. The investors went bankrupt. Tokens may be this generation’s broadband — genuinely needed eventually, but the current demand inflated by exploration budgets. There is real usage, but the usage might not be effective or sustainable. The question isn’t whether AI is transformative. The question is how much of today’s token demand is long-lasting, and how much is exploration money that vanishes once economy tightens. The Amazing Revenue Numbers Jensen Huang, at GTC 2026, declared: ...


